PVWatts-Style Solar Output Estimator
Estimate solar output as system kW × plane-of-array peak sun hours × days × loss factors, with a month-by-month table, the PVWatts 14.08% loss breakdown and the system size needed for your annual kWh. For location-based weather modeling, use official NREL PVWatts.
A PVWatts calculator estimates how many kWh a solar array produces.
Use the PVWatts-Style Solar Output Estimator
System Parameters
Total nameplate DC capacity of your solar array (e.g. 5 kW for a typical home).
Used only for whole-module count: ceiling(system watts ÷ module watts).
Optional user-selected derate; leave at 100% unless you intentionally want a conservative scenario.
0° = horizontal, 90° = vertical. Recorded only; your sun-hours input must already reflect tilt.
180° = true south; 0°/360° = true north. Recorded only; it does not change this estimate.
Default 14% covers DC-side wiring, soiling, shading, mismatch, and aging; inverter efficiency is applied separately.
Loss breakdown (NREL PVWatts defaults)
Combined loss = 1 − Π(1 − loss) = 14.08%
Use plane-of-array sun hours that already reflect the array's location and orientation.
Monthly sun hours (optional)
Paste the 12 "Solar Radiation (kWh/m²/day)" values from NREL PVWatts into any box; they fill January to December.
Typical inverters are 95–97% efficient (CEC weighted average).
Used to estimate annual savings. Leave at 0 to skip.
Gives the DC system size needed to produce this much AC energy per year.
PVWatts® is a registered trademark of Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC, the operator of NREL. This independent tool is not affiliated with or endorsed by NREL.
Privacy: calculations stay in this browser; system and rate inputs are not uploaded.
Annual Energy Production
Monthly Production
| Month | Sun h/day | AC kWh | Bill value |
|---|
Performance Metrics
Ratio of actual output to theoretical maximum (system running at full power 24/7). Typical PV: 10–25%.
AC output ÷ nameplate resource yield, including module, system-loss, and inverter factors.
Formula Breakdown
Quick answer
A PVWatts calculator estimates how many kWh a solar array produces. This independent PVWatts-style estimator, not NREL's official PVWatts, uses AC kWh/year = system kW × peak sun hours × 365 × (1 − losses) × inverter efficiency; NREL's tool adds location weather data.
Example: 5 kW × 4.5 sun hours × 365 = 8,212.5 kWh DC; × 0.86 (14% losses) × 0.96 inverter = about 6,780 kWh a year, 565 kWh a month or 18.6 kWh a day.
Enter your system kW and sun hours for daily, monthly and yearly kWh.
Summary
This independent solar output estimator uses a transparent peak-sun-hours calculation rather than claiming to reproduce the NREL PVWatts model. It estimates annual, monthly and daily AC generation, bill value and equivalent panel quantity. Tilt and azimuth are recorded for scenario documentation but do not alter output: your plane-of-array sun-hours input must already reflect that orientation. For weather-file, temperature, clipping and location-based modeling, use official NREL PVWatts.
How it works
- Enter your DC system size in kilowatts (e.g. 5 kW for a typical home system).
- Enter one module nameplate rating to estimate how many whole modules meet or exceed that DC size.
- Record panel tilt and azimuth so scenarios can be compared consistently.
- Enter DC-side system losses as a percentage (wiring, soiling, shading, mismatch, and aging); inverter efficiency is entered separately.
- Enter plane-of-array peak sun hours per day for the same tilt and azimuth.
- Optionally enter 12 monthly plane-of-array sun-hour values (for example the Solar Radiation column from NREL PVWatts) to get a month-by-month table using each month's real number of days.
- The loss breakdown combines the ten PVWatts loss categories multiplicatively: total = 1 − Π(1 − loss), so the defaults give 14.08%, not their 15% sum.
- Enter annual electricity use to get the DC system size and module count needed to offset it.
- The calculator shows annual, monthly and daily output, equivalent module count and estimated bill value.
Use cases
- Estimate annual energy yield before purchasing rooftop solar panels.
- Compare monthly average production with a monthly electricity bill.
- Estimate the whole-module count needed to meet or exceed a target DC nameplate capacity.
- Compare different tilt and azimuth orientations for optimal panel placement.
- Calculate expected savings by multiplying kWh/year by your electricity rate.
- Size a battery storage system by knowing daily and annual energy production.
- Validate contractor quotes by independently estimating expected system output.
- Assess the impact of shading losses on overall system performance.
- Plan off-grid solar systems by estimating available energy per year.
- Conduct feasibility studies for commercial or utility-scale PV installations.