PVWatts-Style Solar Output Estimator
Estimate solar output as system kW × plane-of-array peak sun hours × 365 × loss factors, with monthly energy and equivalent panel count. For location-based weather modeling, use official NREL PVWatts.
Use the PVWatts-Style Solar Output Estimator
System Parameters
Total nameplate DC capacity of your solar array (e.g. 5 kW for a typical home).
Used only for whole-module count: ceiling(system watts ÷ module watts).
Optional user-selected derate; leave at 100% unless you intentionally want a conservative scenario.
0° = horizontal, 90° = vertical. Recorded only; your sun-hours input must already reflect tilt.
180° = true south; 0°/360° = true north. Recorded only; it does not change this estimate.
Default 14% covers DC-side wiring, soiling, shading, mismatch, and aging; inverter efficiency is applied separately.
Use plane-of-array sun hours that already reflect the array's location and orientation.
Typical inverters are 95–97% efficient (CEC weighted average).
Used to estimate annual savings. Leave at 0 to skip.
PVWatts® is a registered trademark of Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC, the operator of NREL. This independent tool is not affiliated with or endorsed by NREL.
Privacy: calculations stay in this browser; system and rate inputs are not uploaded.
Annual Energy Production
Performance Metrics
Ratio of actual output to theoretical maximum (system running at full power 24/7). Typical PV: 10–25%.
AC output ÷ nameplate resource yield, including module, system-loss, and inverter factors.
Formula Breakdown
Summary
Estimate solar output as system kW × plane-of-array peak sun hours × 365 × loss factors, with monthly energy and equivalent panel count. For location-based weather modeling, use official NREL PVWatts.
How it works
- Enter your DC system size in kilowatts (e.g. 5 kW for a typical home system).
- Enter one module nameplate rating to estimate how many whole modules meet or exceed that DC size.
- Record panel tilt and azimuth so scenarios can be compared consistently.
- Enter DC-side system losses as a percentage (wiring, soiling, shading, mismatch, and aging); inverter efficiency is entered separately.
- Enter plane-of-array peak sun hours per day for the same tilt and azimuth.
- The calculator shows annual, monthly and daily output, equivalent module count and estimated bill value.
Use cases
- Estimate annual energy yield before purchasing rooftop solar panels.
- Compare monthly average production with a monthly electricity bill.
- Estimate the whole-module count needed to meet or exceed a target DC nameplate capacity.
- Compare different tilt and azimuth orientations for optimal panel placement.
- Calculate expected savings by multiplying kWh/year by your electricity rate.
- Size a battery storage system by knowing daily and annual energy production.
- Validate contractor quotes by independently estimating expected system output.
- Assess the impact of shading losses on overall system performance.
- Plan off-grid solar systems by estimating available energy per year.
- Conduct feasibility studies for commercial or utility-scale PV installations.